Fantasy Football Draft: Dak Prescott Eyes 40 TDs as Malik Willis Gains Value

Prepare for your fantasy football draft with key data, including Malik Willis recording 60 rushing yards and two touchdowns in his 2025 Green Bay start.

Malik Willis recorded 60 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns during his lone 2025 start for the Green Bay Packers before signing a free agent contract with the Miami Dolphins. In contrast, Dak Prescott finished last season with 30 passing touchdowns and is projected to reach 40 scores this year, potentially ranking him among the top three quarterbacks. Jared Goff currently leads the NFL in passing yards per game at 270, total games with 300-plus passing yards with 17, and 101 career passing touchdowns, yet he remains outside the typical QB1 draft range.

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye endured a career-high 68 sacks in 2025, including postseason play. To address this, the Patriots acquired offensive line help through first-round selection Caleb Lomu and free agent Alijah Vera-Tucker, while adding receivers A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers finished the 2025 season ranked last in air yards per attempt at 6.0. This low efficiency matches Michael Pittman Jr., who ranked 68th in average depth of target last year. Patrick Mahomes is expected to start Week 1 against the Denver Broncos despite tearing his left ACL and LCL in Week 15.

Rushing Leaders and Backfield Shifts

Christian McCaffrey surpassed 400 touches last season, a threshold that has historically preceded severe performance declines. Despite this, he remains a primary target for the San Francisco 49ers while George Kittle and De'Zhaun Stribling work toward availability. In Kansas City, Kenneth Walker III has taken over as the top option, allowing Jadarian Price to lead the Seattle Seahawks backfield while Zach Charbonnet serves at least four games on the PUP list. Derrick Henry remains the only player in league history to record over 1,500 rushing yards and 15 rushing touchdowns in a single season at age 30 or older.

Chase Brown joined an elite group including Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, and De'Von Achane as one of only four players with 2,000-plus rushing yards and 750-plus receiving yards since 2024. James Cook III and the Buffalo Bills led the NFL in 2025 with 32.2 carries and 159.7 rushing yards per game, running on 49.3% of their offensive plays. David Montgomery has secured 33 rushing touchdowns since 2023, nearly matching the entire Houston Texans team total of 34 during that same span.

Receiving Targets and Air Yard Efficiency

Geno Smith struggled with a 4.3 air yards per completion average, ranking near Bo Nix and Bryce Young at 4.8, and Tua Tagovailoa at 4.7. Baker Mayfield showed significant volatility, posting a 16-2 TD-INT ratio through Week 10 before falling to a 10-9 ratio from Week 11 through Week 19. Emeka Egbuka provided a spark for the offense in the first five weeks of the season, averaging 89 yards and scoring five touchdowns. In Denver, RJ Harvey ranked eighth among running backs with 47 receptions, while his five receiving touchdowns trailed only McCaffrey.

Wan'Dale Robinson, playing under offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, caught 185 passes between 2024 and 2025, the seventh-highest total in the NFL. Quentin Johnston improved his reliability after recording seven drops in 2024, eventually reaching eight touchdowns last season. Tre Tucker led the Raiders with 696 receiving yards, though the team now views Brock Bowers as their top pass catcher. Mike Washington Jr. adds depth after averaging 8.1 yards per reception on 28 catches at Arkansas.

Tight End Production and Rookie Impacts

Colston Loveland saw 48 targets over his final four games, and Caleb Williams maintained a 74.3 completion percentage when targeting Loveland and Luther Burden III. This efficiency dropped to 52.8 percent when Williams threw to other targets. Trey McBride led the NFL in slot production for tight ends, tallying 63 receptions for 644 yards and six touchdowns from that alignment. Kyle Pitts Sr. enters the new season following a 928-yard performance, his highest output since his rookie year.

Tetairoa McMillan accounted for 30.7% of his team's receiving yards last season, outperforming Ja'Marr Chase's 30.3% share. Michael Wilson finished his campaign with 78 receptions for 1,006 yards and seven touchdowns. In Jacksonville, Travis Etienne Jr. led the team with 1,399 scrimmage yards and 13 touchdowns before moving to the Saints. The Jaguars responded by selecting tight end Nate Boerkircher in the first round of the 2026 draft to facilitate multiple tight end sets for new RB1 Bhayshul Tuten.